Verizon Just Changed the Answer. For 19 Years, Stolen Credentials Were the #1 Breach Entry Point. Not Anymore.
The 2026 Verizon Data Breach Investigations Report dropped this week — the 19th edition, analyzing 22,000 confirmed breaches across 145 countries. For the first time in the report's history, unpatched software vulnerabilities have overtaken stolen credentials as the leading way attackers get in. Here's what that means for every small business.
Every year in May, Verizon publishes the Data Breach Investigations Report — the most widely cited primary source in cybersecurity, built from real breach data contributed by law enforcement agencies, incident response firms, and security organizations worldwide. This year's 19th edition analyzed over 31,000 security incidents and more than 22,000 confirmed data breaches across 145 countries. It is the largest dataset in the report's history.
The headline finding will surprise anyone who's been following this series: for the first time in 19 years of DBIR data, exploiting unpatched software vulnerabilities — not stolen credentials — is now the #1 way attackers get into organizations. Vulnerability exploitation accounted for 31% of breaches. Credential abuse dropped to 13%.
Before you close your password manager, read the nuance: the DBIR notes that a methodology change — reclassifying "pretexting" as a new initial access category — moved some incidents out of the credential column. On an apples-to-apples basis, identity-related access (phishing plus credential abuse) totals roughly 32% — essentially tied with vulnerability exploitation at 31%. Credentials haven't stopped mattering. But something genuinely significant has shifted — and it changes what small businesses need to be doing right now.
The five findings that change what you should be doing
Unpatched vulnerabilities just became your biggest open door
31% of all breaches · #1 entry pointFor 18 consecutive years, the DBIR's answer to "how do attackers get in?" was stolen credentials. In 2026 that changed. Exploitation of unpatched software vulnerabilities is now the leading initial access vector. The driver is AI: threat actors are using generative AI to accelerate vulnerability research, target selection, and exploit development, compressing the window between a CVE being disclosed and it being weaponized from months to hours.
The median patching time increased from 32 days in 2024 to 43 days in 2025 — organizations are getting slower at patching at exactly the moment when the exploitation window is getting shorter. Organizations patched only 26% of flaws in CISA's Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog last year, down from 38% in 2024. And the volume of critical flaws organizations needed to patch was 50% higher than the year before.
96% of ransomware victims were small businesses
Ransomware in 48% of all breachesRansomware was involved in 48% of all confirmed breaches in 2025 — up from 44% the year before. The SMB-specific finding commands every small business owner's attention: 96% of ransomware victims were small and medium-sized businesses. Not because large enterprises have solved ransomware, but because SMBs present the combination of unpatched devices, limited recovery capabilities, and smaller security teams that makes them the most operationally vulnerable targets.
There is a sliver of good news: median ransom payments dropped below $140,000, and only 31% of victims paid — down from 50% two years ago. Attackers are making up in volume what they're losing in payment rates. The math hasn't changed in SMBs' favor.
Third-party breaches jumped 60% — nearly half of all breaches involve a vendor
48% of breaches · up 60% year-over-yearBreaches involving an organization's supply chain — a vendor, cloud provider, managed service provider, SaaS platform, or outsourced IT partner — increased by 60% and now account for 48% of all breaches. Nearly half. An attacker compromises a vendor that has privileged access to your systems. Your defenses are irrelevant because the attacker isn't coming through your perimeter — they're coming through a trusted connection you authorized.
The CISA GitHub leak we covered recently is a direct example: a contractor's credentials exposed government infrastructure because the access had been granted and was never adequately monitored. Replace "government infrastructure" with "your CRM" and the story is the same.
Shadow AI tripled — employees are using AI tools IT doesn't know about
Shadow AI use up 3x · 45% of employeesEmployee use of unapproved "shadow AI" tools tripled to 45% of employees in 2025. When employees paste client data, financial information, proprietary documents, or internal communications into an AI tool that IT hasn't reviewed, that data leaves your control. You don't know where it goes, how it's stored, or who can access it.
The DBIR also documents a 40% increase in mobile social engineering success rates — attackers are shifting from email phishing to SMS and voice attacks because employees are 40% more likely to click a mobile threat than an email one. Your employees have gotten better at spotting phishing emails. Their phones are now the softer target.
Humans are still in 62% of breaches — but the attack vector has shifted
62% human element · mobile now primary targetThe human element remains a factor in 62% of all breaches. But the DBIR documents an important shift: voice and SMS phishing now produce a 40% higher click rate than traditional email phishing. Employees have gotten meaningfully better at spotting suspicious emails. Attackers have moved to the channel where defenses are weakest — the phone in your employees' pockets.
MFA prompt bombing — flooding an employee's phone with authentication requests until they approve one to make it stop — appeared in 14% of incidents. That's the same attack documented in the MFA bypass post in this series. The DBIR confirms it's not theoretical. It's in 14% of real incidents.
The honest summary — what changed and what didn't
The 2026 DBIR is not a signal that credentials no longer matter. It's a signal that the attack surface has expanded and the priority list has shifted:
- Unpatched vulnerabilities are now the #1 entry point. If you have known critical CVEs on internet-facing systems, addressing them is more urgent than any other single action.
- Credentials are still the #2 entry point when identity-related access is counted properly. Everything in the credential security series still applies.
- Third-party access is now nearly as likely a breach source as your own systems. Vendor access reviews and stale account audits are no longer optional hygiene.
- Your employees' phones are now more vulnerable than their email. Mobile social engineering, SMS phishing, and MFA prompt bombing are the techniques growing fastest.
- AI is accelerating everything on the attacker's side. The patch window has shrunk to hours. The fundamentals haven't changed — they just need to be applied faster.
📚 Credential Security Series — Read the full series
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